In the world of cricket betting, intuition can be useful, but guesswork alone will not get you far. Those who can analyse figures, analyse players' form and take into account real facts, not just big names and hype, win.
In our online cricket betting guide (OCBG) we tell you which stats are really important and how to apply them correctly when betting, so that you don't play the lottery, but make sensible decisions.
When it comes to how to play online cricket betting, statistics are your best ally. However, just knowing that a batsman has an average of 50 and a bowler has 20 wickets taken in the last 5 matches is not enough. It is important to put the data in context.
Key Indicators:
Batting Average (BA) - the average score of a batsman; the higher the score, the more reliable the player. If the score is 50, it means he averages 50 runs per innings;
Strike Rate (SR) - the rate at which points are scored; particularly important in T20. If SR = 150, it means that a batsman scores 150 runs per 100 deliveries;
Bowling Average (BowlA) is the efficiency of a bowler; the lower the value, the harder it is to bowl against him. For example, BowlA 20 indicates that the bowler misses only 20 wickets per wicket taken;
Economy Rate (ER) - how many runs the bowler misses per over. If the rate is low, it means that the player is able to contain the attacking potential of the opponents.
Example: Jasprit Bumrah has one of the lowest ER in T20, making him a key player in the team's defence. If he plays in the next match against a team that is traditionally weak against fast bowlers, it is a good sign for a bet.
Let's say you have a list of top batsmen with the best batting average. But can you automatically bet on them in the next match? No, because without context, these numbers don't mean much.
What to consider:
What type of bowlers a batsman plays against. If a player does not do well against spinners and the opponents are a team with strong spin bowling, his high average may mean nothing;
How he performs in this format. In Test matches, the same player can show a consistent 50+ runs, while in T20s he can be out after 10 innings;
How it plays in specific stadiums. Some pitches are suitable for batsmen, others are not. For example, Chennai (MA Chidambaram Stadium) has traditionally difficult conditions for attacking cricket, so even top batsmen find it difficult.
Example: Rohit Sharma is one of the best ODI batsmen in the world, but in some stadiums his results can be worse than average. That doesn't mean he is bad, just that his style of play is less effective in certain conditions.
Cricket is one of the few sports where natural conditions can completely change the course of the game.
Factors that are critical to consider |
|
Humidity and temperature |
In high humidity, the ball moves unpredictably, which makes life difficult for batsmen but helps bowlers |
Type of coverage (pitch) |
On dry pitches, the ball bounces higher, which favours fast bowlers, whereas on soft and loose pitches, spinners feel like fish in water |
The draw |
The team that starts first may gain an advantage if the pitch gradually deteriorates |
Example: It often rains in England, which makes bowling more difficult. If the weather forecast says wet conditions and one of the teams has strong spinners, their chances of success go down.
Even top players have uncomfortable opponents. Some batsmen find it difficult to play against certain bowlers and teams sometimes perform terribly against specific opponents.
What to analyse in online cricket betting app:
How a batsman performs against a particular bowler (for example, if he is regularly out after a few innings, that's a worrying sign);
How a team performs against certain styles of play (for example, if a team is weak against fast bowlers and the opposition has stars like Patt Cummins - this is worth considering).
???? Example: Steve Smith does not play well against left-handed bowlers in Test cricket - his average drops when he faces them. Having a world class left-arm bowler in the match is a red flag for betting on his high performance.
Now that we've broken down the basic metrics, let's see how to apply them to real bets.
What you can do after online cricket betting app download:
Analyse individual bets. For example, don't bet on a 'Total over 50 runs' for a batsman if he has poor performance against a certain type of bowling;
Keep an eye on form. If a player has played the last three matches with poor results, he may be in trouble and it is better to postpone betting on his success;
Compare conditions. Even a top batsman can fail on a difficult pitch - study how players perform in specific conditions.
Competent analysis of statistics helps to see hidden patterns that do not always lie on the surface. But it's important to remember that dry numbers without context can be misleading. You need to take into account not only the average performance of players, but also their form, style of play, the influence of weather conditions, pitching and even the draw.
Even the strongest batsman can fail if the playing conditions are not right for him, and a world-class bowler is vulnerable against aggressive attacking teams. That is why blind faith in the 'top' players often leads to mistakes. Those who can understand the details, analyse matchups and adapt to changing conditions win.
The use of statistics in online cricket betting app should not be a dogma, but a flexible tool that helps to make informed decisions. The deeper you dive into the numbers and nuances of the game, the higher the chance of making an accurate prediction.
If you enjoy PWInsider.com you can check out the AD-FREE PWInsider Elite section, which features exclusive audio updates, news, our critically acclaimed podcasts, interviews and more by clicking here!